Population Predictions For Our Time From 1859-1954
Below is a small collection of population predictions for our time (and beyond), published in past publictions. The earliest dating from 1859, looking all the way out to 1990. Some were surprisingly accurate, while others were far off the mark. … Read entire article »
Filed under: History
1938 Prediction: Population to decrease after 1980
A 1938 article in the Evening Post attempted to predict the United States population 42 years in the future. Surprisingly, the writer predicted that the population would actually start to decrease after 1980. … Read entire article »
Filed under: History
Where are Alfred V. Lincoln’s Trees?
According to an article in the Meriden Daily Journal dated 9/24/1921, Massachusetts resident Alfred V. Lincoln set aside $7500 of his estate at compound interest for 90 years, to be withdrawn in the year 2011 in order to plant trees in his hometown. The 1921 article estimated that his $7500 could grow to $250,000 and as high as millions. The article pondered if the interest system would even exist 90 years in the future. Internet searches have revealed nothing about the outcome of this story. The original story reads: TURN $7,500 INTO $250,000 Bank ads often say that if $1 had been placed at compound interest in the year 1, it would have grown, by now, to a sum bigger than all the money in the world. That must have caught the eye of Alfred … Read entire article »
Filed under: History
1974: Natural Gas Almost Out by 2010?
Prediction: World’s natural gas down to last 10% by 2010 Date: 1974 Score: Wrong Amid the 1970′s oil crisis, there was a lot of talk about the long-term supply of petroleum and of natural gas. In an article dated 10/14/1974 in the Ludington Daily News, writer H.J. Heller quotes William R. Gould, chairman of the Atomic Industrial Forum, Inc. as saying that ”we are expected to reach the last 10 per cent of the earth’s supply of natural gas.” Some cursory research of various sources leads to the determination that this prediction was way off. We have at least 60-100 years left of natural gas supplies that we know of. … Read entire article »
Filed under: History
1957 Prediction: Atomic Luxury Spaceships by 2007
In a 1957 article, predictions were made for what life might be like 50 years later, in the year 2007. Here’s what they had to say: … Read entire article »
Filed under: History
1979 Prediction of the $320,000 Cars in 2011
On December 30, 1979 an article entitled “Why Does Everything Cost So Much?’ appeared in the Beaver Country Times, discussing inflation and the future. The writer suggested that a $50,000 home in 1979 would cost $3.2 million in 2011, while a $5000 car would cost $320,000. While this sounds far-fetched, the writer does correct his math and predicts that such a car could cost $40,000 in 2011, and that is not an unheard of figure today. It went on to hint at a depression in the 1980′s, which also did not happen. … Read entire article »
Filed under: History
UN Bad Prediction in 1976
According to a NY Times article dated March 5, 1976, the UN predicted that the global population in 2010 would be nearly 8 billion. They based it on 1974 data, using a 1.9% growth rate. At the end of 2010, however, the world population stands at about 6.8 billion. … Read entire article »
Filed under: History
Year 2000 Predictions in 1967
In an article posted on New Year’s Eve, 1967, writer Andrew Squibb Jr. outlined predictions for the year 2000 – 32 years away – by the Commission on the Year 2000. Here is a list of those predictions: 6 or 7 billion people Intercontinental travel by rocket Decision-making by computer Decline of US and Soviet control of world events Abundant thermonuclear energy Farming in the oceans Mining on the moon Permanent research labs orbiting in space 2 careers per lifetime due to longevity Less disease More psychological stress Weather control Population control Personality control Couples designated to breed More clerks, researchers, and technicians Routine use of drugs to alter behavior Ten more countries with A-bombs More leisure Rationing of recreational facilities End of democratic government due to apathy Destruction of traditional marriage due to birth control and artificial insemination Over-emphasis on education More dangerous weapons available to poor countries Widespread affluence Humanely designed cities and housing Decline … Read entire article »
Filed under: History
1964 US Census Bureau Predictions and Score
In 1964, the US Census Bureau predicted US populations in the future through the year 2010. Were they accurate or was this just another bad prediction? They predicted: 1967: 200 million 1970: 206-211 million 1985: 248-276 million 2010: 322-438 million The actual numbers were: 1967: 198 million (2 million below projection) 1970: 205 million (1-6 million below projection) 1985: 238 million (10-38 million below projection) 2010: 310 million (12-128 million below projection) It’s really not too bad considering these predictions were made 46 years ago. Source: Sarasota Journal, July 9, 1964. … Read entire article »
Filed under: History
Cesar Franck and the Rise of French Chamber Music
I wrote this paper in graduate school. I recall being highly motivated by the subject, reading and researching as much for my own enjoyment as for this paper. It is dated June 1992, and received an A. Chamber music had never been an integral part of French music until the end of the nineteenth century. There were some notable works such as the trios and sonatas by Rameau, Couperin, and Leclair, but never was any emphasis placed on the chamber medium. The events and individuals who led to the rise of chamber music in France at the end of the nineteenth century shall be the subject of this paper. A reasonable figure with which to begin such a study would be Cesar Franck. Because he is often hailed as the father of … Read entire article »
Filed under: History, Music, Term Papers